Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
39.17% ( 0.16) | 24.47% ( -0.03) | 36.36% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 59.63% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.78% ( 0.13) | 43.22% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% ( 0.13) | 65.62% ( -0.13) |
Coleraine Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 0.14) | 22.05% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% ( 0.2) | 55.39% ( -0.2) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.01) | 23.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.47% ( -0.01) | 57.53% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Coleraine | Draw | Crusaders |
2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.17% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.36% |
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