Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 70.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 12.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
