Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 75.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.22%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
