Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 80.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 6.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.61%) and 1-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
