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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 14
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
 

Crusaders
4 - 0
Warrenpoint

Lecky (21'), Heatley (71', 76', 81')
McGonigle (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Byrne (32'), Swan (76')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Warrenpoint Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 80.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 6.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.61%) and 1-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawWarrenpoint Town
80.11%13.29%6.6%
Both teams to score 43.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62%36.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49%58.51%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.9%7.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.11%25.89%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.98%53.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.34%86.66%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 80.1%
    Warrenpoint Town 6.6%
    Draw 13.29%
CrusadersDrawWarrenpoint Town
2-0 @ 13.17%
3-0 @ 11.61%
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 8.36%
4-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 7.37%
4-1 @ 4.87%
5-0 @ 4.06%
5-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.34%
6-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.55%
6-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 80.1%
1-1 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 3.77%
2-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 13.29%
0-1 @ 2.39%
1-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 6.6%

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