Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
36.91% ( 0.11) | 23.79% ( 0.03) | 39.3% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 62.26% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.16% ( -0.12) | 39.83% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.81% ( -0.13) | 62.19% ( 0.13) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.32% | 21.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.18% ( -0) | 54.82% ( 0) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.49% ( -0.12) | 20.51% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.99% ( -0.19) | 53% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.3% |
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