SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 69.55%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
69.55% ( -0.08) | 18% ( 0.04) | 12.45% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( -0.1) | 39.71% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( -0.11) | 62.06% ( 0.11) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.69% ( -0.05) | 10.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.27% ( -0.11) | 33.73% ( 0.12) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.11% ( 0) | 42.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.8% ( 0) | 79.19% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.42% Total : 69.54% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 18% | 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% 1-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.45% |
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