SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
31.92% ( 0.02) | 25.18% ( 0) | 42.89% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.01% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.01) | 47.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.34% ( -0.01) | 69.66% ( 0) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.01) | 28.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 0.01) | 63.79% ( -0.01) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.02) | 22.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( -0.02) | 55.43% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 5% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.89% |
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