Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
46.26% ( 0.01) | 23.01% ( -0) | 30.73% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 63.07% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.08% ( 0.01) | 37.92% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.82% ( 0.01) | 60.18% ( -0.01) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( 0.01) | 16.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% ( 0.01) | 46.75% ( -0.01) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( 0) | 24.19% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( 0) | 58.53% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.3% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.73% |
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