SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
47.69% ( 0.09) | 25.17% ( 0.03) | 27.14% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -0.21) | 49.84% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( -0.19) | 71.84% ( 0.19) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.05) | 20.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( -0.07) | 53.65% ( 0.07) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( -0.2) | 32.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% ( -0.23) | 69.31% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.14% |
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