Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
