Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.16%) and 0-3 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
