Carrick
1 - 3
Crusaders

Kelly (10')
Smith (39'), Cherry (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McGonigle (12'), Hegarty (48'), Ruddy (56')
Hegarty (25'), Heatley (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 9.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.16%) and 0-3 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Crusaders
9.9%	18.12%	71.98%

Both teams to score 42.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.81%

47.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.57%

69.42%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.65%

52.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.77%

86.23%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.26%

11.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.11%

36.88%

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 9.9%

Crusaders 71.97%

Draw 18.12%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 3.98% 2-1 @ 2.76% 2-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.9%	1-1 @ 8.52% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 2.96% Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.12%	0-2 @ 14.1% 0-1 @ 13.16% 0-3 @ 10.06% 1-2 @ 9.13% 1-3 @ 6.52% 0-4 @ 5.39% 1-4 @ 3.49% 0-5 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-5 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.97%