Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Glenavon in this match.