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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 12
Mar 9, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
1 - 2
Glenavon

Lavery (66')
Bonis (21'), Wilson (29'), McCallum (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hall (34'), McCaffrey (46')
Campbell (90+2')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
PortadownDrawGlenavon
30.03%22.43%47.53%
Both teams to score 64.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.54%35.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.49%57.5%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6%23.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61%57.39%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61%15.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81%44.18%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 30.03%
    Glenavon 47.53%
    Draw 22.43%
PortadownDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.11%
1-0 @ 5.23%
2-0 @ 3.8%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 1.84%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 6.65%
0-0 @ 3.6%
3-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-1 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 5.72%
2-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.94%
1-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.84%
1-5 @ 1%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 47.53%

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