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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
1 - 1
Carrick

Coates (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kelly (9')
Rodgers (30')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
60.04%20.57%19.39%
Both teams to score 58.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.29%37.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.05%59.95%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.77%12.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06%37.94%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13%32.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56%69.44%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 60.04%
    Carrick Rangers 19.39%
    Draw 20.57%
GlenavonDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.88%
1-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 6.22%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 3.63%
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-2 @ 2.02%
5-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 60.04%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 5.49%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 19.39%

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