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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 24
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
4 - 1
Glenavon

Bonis (27'), Warde (38' pen.), Guy (60'), Lavery (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ward (73')
McNulty (38')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
PortadownDrawGlenavon
27.14%22.7%50.16%
Both teams to score 61.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.19%38.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.88%61.12%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01%26.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66%62.34%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3%15.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.23%44.77%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 27.14%
    Glenavon 50.16%
    Draw 22.7%
PortadownDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 6.73%
1-0 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 3.63%
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 27.14%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.24%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-3 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 2.72%
0-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.78%
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 50.16%

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