SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
16.5% ( 0.06) | 21.51% ( -0.1) | 61.99% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( 0.56) | 46.75% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( 0.52) | 69.02% ( -0.52) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.48% ( 0.41) | 41.52% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.99% ( 0.36) | 78.01% ( -0.36) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( 0.2) | 14.53% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.44% ( 0.38) | 42.55% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.5% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.5% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.98% |
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