Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 83.36%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 5.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.43%) and 4-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
Result | ||
Glentoran | Draw | Ballymena United |
83.36% ( 1.21) | 11.09% ( -0.66) | 5.54% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 46.46% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.54% ( 0.95) | 29.46% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.46% ( 1.15) | 50.53% ( -1.15) |
Glentoran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.89% ( 0.39) | 5.11% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.69% ( 1.15) | 20.3% ( -1.15) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.96% ( -0.97) | 51.04% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.63% ( -0.66) | 85.37% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Glentoran | Draw | Ballymena United |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.61% Total : 83.36% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.66% Total : 11.09% | 0-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.04% Total : 5.54% |
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