SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Glentoran |
41.01% ( -0.29) | 27.87% ( 0.08) | 31.12% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.55% ( -0.24) | 58.45% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.96% ( -0.19) | 79.04% ( 0.19) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( -0.27) | 28% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% ( -0.35) | 63.64% ( 0.35) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.03) | 34.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( 0.03) | 70.98% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 41.01% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.87% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 31.11% |
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