SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Larne had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Larne |
46.15% ( -0.31) | 25.87% ( 0.07) | 27.98% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.85% ( -0.13) | 52.15% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( -0.11) | 73.86% ( 0.11) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.19) | 22.57% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( -0.29) | 56.16% ( 0.29) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( 0.13) | 33.31% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% ( 0.14) | 69.93% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.98% |
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