SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Loughgall |
57.07% ( 0.08) | 21.48% ( -0.03) | 21.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.98% ( 0.05) | 39.02% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.66% ( 0.05) | 61.34% ( -0.06) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( 0.04) | 13.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.42% ( 0.09) | 40.57% ( -0.09) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.02) | 31.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% ( -0.03) | 68.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 57.07% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 21.45% |
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