SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
40.74% ( 0.12) | 23.97% ( 0.02) | 35.29% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.03% ( -0.14) | 40.96% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.64% ( -0.14) | 63.36% ( 0.15) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.67% ( -0) | 20.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.28% ( -0.01) | 52.72% ( 0.01) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -0.14) | 23.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( -0.21) | 56.86% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.74% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.29% |
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