SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glentoran |
20.99% ( 0.08) | 22.36% ( 0.05) | 56.64% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.12) | 43.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.12) | 66.03% ( 0.12) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.29% ( 0.01) | 34.71% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.56% ( 0.02) | 71.43% ( -0.01) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.79% ( -0.09) | 15.21% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.15% ( -0.16) | 43.84% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 21% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.64% |
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