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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
5 - 1
Loughgall

McKee (7' pen.), Roscoe (19', 38'), Cooper (27'), McGee (61')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Strain (67')
McAleer (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Loughgall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 0-3 Linfield
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Portadown
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawLoughgall
61.37% (0.242 0.24) 19.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 19.13% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 62.46% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)32.91% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (-0.344 -0.34)54.62% (0.345 0.34)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)10.43% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)34.01% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Loughgall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.398 -0.4)30.27% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-0.479 -0.48)66.44% (0.47999999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 61.37%
    Loughgall 19.13%
    Draw 19.5%
LinfieldDrawLoughgall
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.16% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.5%
1-2 @ 5.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.77% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 19.13%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Glenavon 0-3 Linfield
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-1 Dungannon
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: H&W Welders 0-9 Linfield
Monday, August 5 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dundela 0-4 Linfield
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ballyclare Comrades 1-1 Linfield
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Portadown
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-0 Carrick
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 1-1 Ards
Saturday, August 3 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Bourneview Mill 0-9 Loughgall
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: H&W Welders 4-3 Loughgall
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Loughgall 2-1 Ballinamallard United
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3


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