Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Linfield | Draw | Loughgall |
61.37% ( 0.24) | 19.5% ( -0.02) | 19.13% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 62.46% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.09% ( -0.3) | 32.91% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.38% ( -0.34) | 54.62% ( 0.34) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.57% ( -0.03) | 10.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66% ( -0.06) | 34.01% ( 0.06) |
Loughgall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( -0.4) | 30.27% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% ( -0.48) | 66.44% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Linfield | Draw | Loughgall |
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 61.37% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.5% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.69% Total : 19.13% |
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