SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
31.08% ( -1.48) | 23.9% ( -0.34) | 45.01% ( 1.82) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( 0.99) | 41.99% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.61% ( 0.99) | 64.39% ( -0.99) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( -0.42) | 25.97% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( -0.58) | 60.99% ( 0.58) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 1.18) | 18.89% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( 1.93) | 50.37% ( -1.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.01% |
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