Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
