Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
Glentoran	Draw	Crusaders
47.68% ( 0.01)	23.78% ( -0)	28.54% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.86% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.15%

42.84% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.75%

65.24% (

-0.01)

Glentoran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

18.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.88% (

0.01)

49.11% (

-0.02)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.91% (

-0.01)

28.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.24% (

-0.01)

63.75% (

Score Analysis

Glentoran 47.68%

Crusaders 28.54%

Draw 23.78%

Glentoran	Draw	Crusaders
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.68%	1-1 @ 11.04% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.54%