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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Newry City AFC |
52.4% ( 0.31) | 23.14% ( 0.01) | 24.45% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.74% ( -0.36) | 43.25% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.34% ( -0.36) | 65.65% ( 0.36) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( -0.02) | 16.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% ( -0.04) | 46.28% ( 0.04) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -0.46) | 31.4% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( -0.53) | 67.77% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.26% Total : 52.4% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.45% |
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