SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 83.27%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 5.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.76%) and 1-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Loughgall win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Loughgall |
83.27% ( -0.13) | 11.68% ( 0.08) | 5.05% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 39.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.39% ( -0.19) | 35.61% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.33% ( -0.21) | 57.66% ( 0.21) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.69% ( -0.07) | 6.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.27% ( -0.18) | 23.73% ( 0.17) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.46% ( 0.02) | 57.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.66% ( 0.01) | 89.34% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-0 @ 13.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 83.26% | 1-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.68% | 0-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 5.05% |
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