SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Coleraine |
74.32% ( 0.03) | 16.02% ( -0.01) | 9.65% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.28% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.03) | 38.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.35% ( -0.03) | 60.65% ( 0.03) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.18% | 8.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.76% ( 0) | 30.24% ( -0) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.07) | 47.04% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.48% ( -0.05) | 82.52% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 74.31% | 1-1 @ 7.6% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.02% | 0-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 9.65% |
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