SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Loughgall win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Cliftonville |
17.91% ( 0.04) | 20.89% ( 0.02) | 61.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( -0.03) | 41.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( -0.03) | 64.02% ( 0.03) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( 0.03) | 36.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( 0.03) | 73.55% ( -0.03) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( -0.03) | 13.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.22% ( -0.05) | 39.78% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-2 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 61.2% |
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