SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Loughgall |
40.67% ( -0.02) | 26.39% ( 0.01) | 32.93% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.04) | 52.3% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( -0.03) | 74% ( 0.03) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.03) | 25.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -0.04) | 60.11% ( 0.04) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.01) | 29.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -0.01) | 65.96% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Loughgall |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.93% |
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