SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
53.07% ( -0.1) | 23.87% ( 0.01) | 23.06% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.24% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.08) | 47.81% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( 0.07) | 69.99% ( -0.07) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( -0.01) | 17.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( -0.02) | 48.8% ( 0.02) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( 0.13) | 35.1% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( 0.14) | 71.85% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 53.07% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.06% |
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