SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.26%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Larne |
18.49% ( 0.19) | 23.73% ( 0.26) | 57.78% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( -0.74) | 52.63% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -0.64) | 74.28% ( 0.64) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.42% ( -0.21) | 42.57% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% ( -0.18) | 78.93% ( 0.17) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% ( -0.44) | 18% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( -0.76) | 48.87% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 18.49% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.72% | 0-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 11.26% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.77% |
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