SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Newry City AFC |
61.3% ( 0.01) | 21.08% ( 0.02) | 17.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% ( -0.16) | 42.97% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% ( -0.16) | 65.38% ( 0.16) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( -0.05) | 13.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.42% ( -0.1) | 40.58% ( 0.1) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.1% ( -0.13) | 37.9% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.33% ( -0.13) | 74.67% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.62% |
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