Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
