Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Warrenpoint Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
