Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 18.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crusaders in this match.