Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crusaders in this match.