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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
 

Crusaders
4 - 0
Dungannon

Robinson (24'), Clarke (25'), Kennedy (45+1', 61')
Joe Burns (42'), Weir (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)

McGinty (42'), Quinn (80'), Glynn (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 73.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 9.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 3-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
73.81%16.4%9.79%
Both teams to score 47.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.22%39.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.86%62.14%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71%9.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.63%31.37%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.28%47.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.98%83.02%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 73.79%
    Dungannon Swifts 9.79%
    Draw 16.4%
CrusadersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 12.51%
1-0 @ 10.53%
3-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-1 @ 7.34%
4-0 @ 5.89%
4-1 @ 4.36%
5-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.71%
5-1 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.61%
6-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 73.79%
1-1 @ 7.8%
0-0 @ 4.43%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.4%
0-1 @ 3.28%
1-2 @ 2.88%
0-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 9.79%

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