Carrick
3 - 6
Glenavon

Chapman (10', 80'), Gibson (49')
Forsythe (55'), Glendinning (58'), McMullan (65'), Gordon (77'), Ramsey (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hall (56', 88', 90+2' pen.), Campbell (57', 72'), Garrett (75')
Snoddy (58'), Campbell (58'), Fitzpatrick (60'), Singleton (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glenavon
29.5%	23.3%	47.2%

Both teams to score 61.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01%

39.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64%

62.36%

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74%

26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.98%

61.02%

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77%

17.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.47%

47.53%

Score Analysis

Carrick Rangers 29.5%

Glenavon 47.2%

Draw 23.3%

Carrick Rangers	Draw	Glenavon
2-1 @ 7.15% 1-0 @ 6.03% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.5%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.3%	1-2 @ 9.33% 0-1 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.41% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.62% Other @ 4.04% Total : 47.2%