Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
