Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.