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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
May 14, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
4 - 0
Warrenpoint

Hall (29', 70'), Wallace (35' og.), Purkis (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Swan (17'), Coleman (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Warrenpoint Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 62.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawWarrenpoint Town
62.21%20.16%17.63%
Both teams to score 56.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.3%38.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.99%61.01%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06%11.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.69%37.31%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92%72.08%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 62.21%
    Warrenpoint Town 17.63%
    Draw 20.16%
GlenavonDrawWarrenpoint Town
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 6.75%
4-1 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-0 @ 3.59%
4-2 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 62.21%
1-1 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 5.16%
0-0 @ 4.22%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.85%
0-1 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 17.63%

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