Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
