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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
3 - 0
Warrenpoint

McCartan (37'), McElroy (44'), Millar (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Warrenpoint Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawWarrenpoint Town
59.07%22.26%18.66%
Both teams to score 51.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52%46.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24%68.76%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62%15.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.83%44.16%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22%38.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48%75.51%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 59.07%
    Warrenpoint Town 18.66%
    Draw 22.26%
Ballymena UnitedDrawWarrenpoint Town
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 6.18%
4-0 @ 3.05%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.89%
4-2 @ 1.37%
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.07%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 5.65%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.66%

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