SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Japan Women had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Japan Women win it was 1-2 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brazil Women | Draw | Japan Women |
71.66% ( -1.06) | 16.28% ( 0.31) | 12.05% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 56.62% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.76% ( 0.61) | 32.24% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.15% ( 0.71) | 53.84% ( -0.71) |
| Brazil Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.09% ( -0.07) | 7.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.03% ( -0.18) | 27.97% ( 0.18) |
| Japan Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.48% ( 1.65) | 38.52% ( -1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.73% ( 1.54) | 75.27% ( -1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brazil Women | Draw | Japan Women |
| 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 71.66% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.28% | 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.05% |
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