SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Women | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Japan Women | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Costa Rica Women | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 | Zambia Women | 2 | -10 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Women | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Japan Women | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Costa Rica Women | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 | Zambia Women | 2 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Spain Women had a probability of 37.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Spain Women win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan Women | Draw | Spain Women |
38.1% ( 0.36) | 24.45% ( -0.09) | 37.45% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.8% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 0.45) | 43.03% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 0.44) | 65.43% ( -0.44) |
| Japan Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( 0.39) | 22.51% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( 0.57) | 56.07% ( -0.57) |
| Spain Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.07) | 22.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.44% ( 0.09) | 56.56% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan Women | Draw | Spain Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.1% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.45% |
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