Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Nigeria Women win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brazil Women in this match.
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