After playing 120 minutes against the USA, there may be some weary legs among the Sweden squad, and we think that tiredness could play into the hands of their opponents.
Japan have proven at the tournament that they are comfortable dominating possession as well as launching clinical counter-attacks, and we think that they will showcase their attacking talent to secure their place in the semi-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
