SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan Women | 3 | 11 | 9 |
| 2 | Spain Women | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Zambia Women | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 4 | Costa Rica Women | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Switzerland Women | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | Norway Women | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | New Zealand Women | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Philippines Women | 3 | -7 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Norway Women had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Norway Women win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan Women | Draw | Norway Women |
68.08% ( 0.39) | 18.65% ( -0.02) | 13.26% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.26% ( -0.78) | 40.74% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.87% ( -0.81) | 63.13% ( 0.81) |
| Japan Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.03% ( -0.12) | 10.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.8% ( -0.26) | 35.2% ( 0.26) |
| Norway Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.71% ( -1.05) | 42.29% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.31% ( -0.91) | 78.68% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan Women | Draw | Norway Women |
| 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.05% Total : 68.07% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.13)Other @ 1% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.46% Total : 13.26% |
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