Norway would have taken confidence from their comfortable win over the Philippines, but Japan will prove to be a much tougher test, and we think that the Asian side will produce another strong performance to book their place in the quarter-finals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Norway Women had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Norway Women win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
0.39) 
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