Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Women win with a probability of 77.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 7.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 3-0 (11.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 0-1 (3.12%).
0.04) 
-0.02) 
