Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stal Mielec | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
25.38% ( 0.39) | 23.63% ( 0.42) | 50.98% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 56.62% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.44% ( -1.54) | 44.56% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.07% ( -1.51) | 66.93% ( 1.51) |
Stal Mielec Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( -0.52) | 31.34% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( -0.6) | 67.71% ( 0.61) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( -0.87) | 17.53% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.95% ( -1.54) | 48.05% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Stal Mielec | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.79% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.76% Total : 50.98% |
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