SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Katowice | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
53.7% ( -0.49) | 22.96% ( 0.15) | 23.33% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( -0.27) | 43.57% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( -0.27) | 65.96% ( 0.27) |
| Katowice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( -0.27) | 16.18% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( -0.49) | 45.65% ( 0.49) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.48% ( 0.15) | 32.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.95% ( 0.17) | 69.05% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Katowice | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.7% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 23.33% |
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