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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
1 - 1
Warta Poznan

Remacle (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kupczak (50')
Vizinger (72'), Plesnierowicz (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-3 Korona Kielce
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, September 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Korona KielceDrawWarta Poznan
36.98% (-0.383 -0.38) 28.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 34.95% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 47.55% (-0.255 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.46% (-0.327 -0.33)58.54% (0.328 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (-0.257 -0.26)79.12% (0.25699999999999 0.26)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)30.4% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)66.6% (0.476 0.48)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (0.022999999999996 0.02)31.68% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 36.97%
    Warta Poznan 34.95%
    Draw 28.07%
Korona KielceDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 11.07% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-3 Korona Kielce
Friday, September 29 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, September 22 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-1 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 16 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, September 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-0 Korona Kielce
Sunday, August 20 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, September 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Warta Poznan
Sunday, September 24 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, September 17 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 0-2 Warta Poznan
Friday, September 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-0 Cracovia
Saturday, August 26 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 3-2 Warta Poznan
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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